The very first episode of Stats for Geeks’ podcast answers the question: What’s the danger of pulling three poisonous Skittles out of a bowl?
As an avid reader of Runner’s World, I was excited when the current issue contained not only an article titled, “America’s 50 Best Running Cities,” but also the data and methodology for choosing the cities. If you read this blog, you know how I love me some reproducible research.
Recently, Marco Gutierrez, founder of the group Latinos for Trump, told MSNBC in an interview that if something isn’t done about immigration in the U.S., “you’re going to have taco trucks on every corner.” Many took that hypothetical scenario and ran with it, including the Washington Post in an article titled “The national economic implications of a taco truck on every corner.”
Probability can be difficult to wrap your head around. When making a decision, we know that there is a certain amount of risk involved, so we look for best outcome with the favorable odds. That’s game theory in a nutshell. But because we’re not always equipped to understand probability, we’re often making decisions using the wrong information. A perfect example of this is the Monty Hall Problem.
Slate had an interesting article on whether the gender of a critic was related to his/her review of the new Ghostbusters film, saying the current data “seem to suggest that, aside from a few outliers, female critics have been more inclined to be generous toward the new Ghostbusters than male critics.” What drove me crazy, however, is A) the article consisted mostly of quotes from a handful of critics to prove its point and B) there was no methodology or data included, just a summary stat. I decided to do my own digging.